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Housing Stimulus is the Key to Unlocking America's Economy PDF Print E-mail
Written by By: RealtorActionCenter   

On Friday, Sens. Shaheen (NH), Hagan (NC), Udall (CO), Udall (NM) and Begich (AR) called for their Senate colleagues to focus on housing in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009, S. 1, and to expand the home buyer tax credit through the end of 2009. In a letter to their colleagues, the senators noted that the housing industry has long been the engine that drives our economy and recommended extending the tax credit until the end of 2009 to encourage aspiring and qualified home buyers to come off the sidelines and significantly reduce the nation’s high housing inventory.

NAR agrees with and supports the senators’ actions and vows to work with Congress and the administration to establish strong housing legislation that will help bring stability to home values, prevent foreclosures and put the U.S. economy on the road to recovery.

NAR also announced its support for new legislation designed to ease loan modifications and improve refinancing options for America’s troubled homeowners by revamping the HOPE for Homeowners program. HOPE for Homeowners, was designed to help families refinance into safer, more affordable mortgages, in many cases helping those families avoid a devastating foreclosure. This is important legislation and we hope Congress will move forward with it. Stabilizing the housing market will help the nation’s economic future and H.R. 703, along with other stimulus bills being considered, will go a long way to help families keep their homes.

NAR continues its push to enact legislation that will help stabilize and stimulate the housing market. We will continue efforts on your behalf to press Congress and the new Administration to focus on housing recovery as they move forward. REALTORS know that America needs a common sense, straightforward plan to unlock the housing market and help the economy recovery.  NAR has a housing stimulus plan, and we are working harder than ever to give consumers -- and you -- relief from this crisis. 

 
Senate Adds Homebuyers’ Tax Cut to Stimulus Measure PDF Print E-mail
Written by By Brian Faler   

The U.S. Senate voted to cut taxes on homebuyers and weaken “Buy American” provisions in an economic stimulus package that tops $900 billion and might come to a vote as soon as today.

Lawmakers, aiming to boost the ailing housing industry, yesterday unanimously approved a Republican amendment that would temporarily offer homebuyers a tax credit worth $15,000 or 10 percent of a home’s purchase price, whichever is less. The plan would cost $18 billion.

Senator Johnny Isakson, a Georgia Republican who sponsored the amendment, said it was critical to pulling the economy out of the worst recession in decades. “If we don’t fix housing first, it doesn’t matter what else we fix,” Isakson said.

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, a Montana Democrat, said today that lawmakers hope to complete work on the plan tonight, while Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada urged Republicans not to use procedural moves to delay a vote into the weekend.

Dick Durbin of Illinois, the Senate’s second-ranking Democrat, said the bill won’t pass without support from at least a “handful” of Republicans.

“If this ends, sadly, with the same result as in the House of Representatives, with no cooperation and no involvement by the Republican side, then this economic crisis sadly will continue. We can’t afford to let that happen,” Durbin said.

The Senate version would have to be reconciled with an $819 billion House measure. Democratic leaders want to get a final measure to President Barack Obama’s desk by the end of next week.

Obama again urged lawmakers, this time in a column in the Washington Post, to wrap up work on the bill. “Every day, our economy gets sicker -- and the time for a remedy that puts Americans back to work, jump-starts our economy and invests in lasting growth is now,” he wrote.

Obama disputed Republican complaints that the plan doesn’t include enough tax cuts and has too many long-term initiatives that won’t quickly boost the economy. He said he rejects “the notion that tax cuts alone will solve all our problems; that we can meet our enormous tests with half-steps and piecemeal measures.”

Senators voted yesterday to stipulate that the bill’s “Buy American” restrictions must be carried out in a way consistent with the nation’s trade agreements. The bill had required iron and steel used in projects funded by it be made in America. These provisions drew protests from foreign leaders and Obama, who said the restrictions could spark a trade war.

In what Democrats called a compromise, the Senate approved by voice vote an amendment saying the provisions shall be “applied in a manner consistent with United States obligations under international agreements.” A proposal by Arizona Republican Senator John McCain to delete the “Buy American” provisions was defeated, 65-31.

Democrats, who control the Senate with 58 votes, will have to win over at least a few Republicans to overcome procedural hurdles requiring 60 votes to keep the bill from stalling. Obama met yesterday with two Republicans, Maine Senators Olympia Snoweand Susan Collins, who may prove critical to passing the legislation. Both are pushing to strip billions from the plan, spending they say would do little to create jobs.

Snowe said she gave Obama a list of potential cuts, which she said she would like to see total “upwards to $100 billion.” She said Obama was “very amenable” to the suggestions.

“He’s prepared to be receptive to the ideas and to re- evaluating some of the spending measures,” Snowe said. “We really do need to remove those items that have nothing to do with the purpose of jump-starting the economy.”

Collins, who said she preferred a stimulus package totaling about $650 billion, said Obama made a “very strong pitch to have a bill that is considerably bigger than what I might like and argued that the economy is sufficiently troubled that legislation has to be large enough to have the kind of impact that we all want.” She said she is “committed to trying to get to a yes vote.”

Lawmakers are pushing amendments tied to the meltdown on Wall Street. Senator Ron Wyden, an Oregon Democrat, said he and Snowe will offer one aimed at financial institutions that take money from the government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program. Under the amendment, those companies would have to repay the cash portion of bonuses topping $100,000 that were paid to employees for work last year.

“It’s not enough to say these bonuses are wrong,” Wyden said. “They must be paid back.”

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, said he will offer an amendment requiring that at least $50 billion of the TARP money be used to stem housing foreclosures.

This amendment would secure, I think beyond any doubt, that those resources that I’ve identified here would be allocated for foreclosure mitigation,” he said.

Lawmakers previously voted to aid the auto industry by giving new car and truck buyers a tax break on sales taxes and interest payments on car loans. They also voted to boost funding for medical research at the National Institutes of Health by $6 billion.

 

 
Housing Market Bottom in Sight: Economy.com PDF Print E-mail
Written by By: Reuters   

US housing markets from Florida to California have suffered price drops of 50 percent or more from their peak, but now, at long last, a bottom is within sight, likely in the fourth quarter nationally, according to a report from Moody's Economy.com.

By the end of the housing downturn, nearly 62 percent of the nation's 381 metropolitan areas will have experienced double-digit-percent declines in house prices, peak-to-trough, says the report by chief economist Mark Zandi and a team that includes Celia Chen, senior director of housing economics.

 

The declines will exceed 20 percent in about 100 metro areas, according to the report, scheduled to be discussed in a Webcast on Thursday. An advance copy was given exclusively to Reuters.

Despite the gloomy data, the report, by an independent subsidiary of Moody's, paints an improving picture of the housing market, which is in the midst of its worst downturn since the Great Depression and is both the source and a major casualty of the world credit crisis.

An improvement could portend a turnaround for the world's largest economy and help stanch losses at U.S. banks, hit hard by soured mortgage securities.

"Despite the darkening national economic outlook and the weak conditions in the housing market, some positive signs give hope that a bottom in the housing market is coming into view," the report said.

"More than three years since the market began correcting, inventories are flattening, prices are coming back down to earth, and sales are approaching stability," the report said.

The outlook, however, assumes stronger action by U.S. policymakers and says that even with further government intervention, the recession will keep the housing market from fully recovering until the end of this year.

 

With this help, sales are probably at bottom, stabilized by foreclosure sales, while construction will hit bottom in the first half of this year, although the pace of housing starts will remain very depressed until 2011.

From the peak to the trough, total single-family home sales will have declined by 40 percent and housing starts by 70 percent.

Zandi's analysis of the impact of the U.S. economic stimulus package has been cited by some of the Obama administration's top advisers.

The Moody's Economy.com report—titled "Housing in Crisis: When Will Metro Markets Recover?"—says home prices in the United States will hit their nadir in the fourth quarter of 2009, with the National Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller Home Price Index expected to show a 36.2 percent peak-to-trough decline.

The peak was reached in the first quarter of 2006.

House prices have fallen in about 70 percent of all metro areas over the past several years and although prices in most metro areas declined modestly during this period, price depreciation from peak exceeded 5 percent in 116 metro areas and exceeded 20 percent in about 50 metro areas.

 
Fannie Mae Foreclosure Sale at 50 Cents on $1 Shows Price Reset PDF Print E-mail
Written by By Elliot Blair Smith, Bloomberg   

With a sharp nod, Robert Parkin bids $500,000 at the auction of a brick colonial house in Upper Marlboro, Maryland, that the builder once valued at $1.1 million.

Seconds later, a competitor counters at $510,000, and Parkin must decide whether to raise his limit on the unfinished, 4,878- square-foot property with a stop-work order taped to the window.

This auction, 19 miles (30.6 kilometers) southeast of Washington, is one of hundreds a day carried out on front lawns and in hotel ballrooms nationwide by liquidators such as Williams & Williams Marketing Services Inc. of Tulsa, Oklahoma. With 2.3 million residences in foreclosure, the sales are pushing down prices to early 2004 levels in the hunt for new buyers.

“If you’re looking for expediency to get people back in homes, un-board neighborhoods, clean up the rats, this is it,” says Pamela McKissick, 62, the president of closely held Williams & Williams. Banks, brokerages and government-sponsored mortgage finance companies such as Fannie Maehire the company to sell houses one at a time or to liquidate entire portfolios.

Auctions are resetting real estate values at the neighborhood level, while President Barack Obama tries to find a way to limit foreclosures and revitalize the worst housing market since the Great Depression. Bargain hunters such as Parkin, a 50- year-old aerospace engineer who is shopping for a personal residence, and mom-and-pop investors on the prowl for rental properties, aren’t waiting for federal aid.

They are buying foreclosed properties for as little as 10 cents on the dollar. Lenders seized 9,787 houses a day in December, or almost seven a minute. Even after the 26 percent drop in residential prices since June 2007, there are enough unsold homes to last 9.3 months at the current sales rate.

Falling Prices

Housing values may decline a further 15.5 percent this year, based on December 2009 contracts tied to the RPX residential real estate index. The RPX, developed by New York-based Radar Logic Inc., measures the average price per square foot of residential sales in 25 U.S. markets.

After median house prices fell 15 percent in November, the most on record, home sales rebounded 6.5 percent last month, the National Association of Realtors said Jan. 26. Distressed sales accounted for almost half the total.

The California Association of Realtors said yesterday that the price of a single-family house in the state plunged 41.5 percent last year. The Commerce Department may report tomorrow that new-home sales fell 2.5 percent last month, based on a Bloomberg survey of 69 economists.

Barroom Brawler

Auctions are the best way to determine the true value of real estate, saysDean Williams, 47, the owner of the auction house that bears his name. Sales through agents promote the owners’ asking prices, while lenders emphasize the affordability of monthly payments, he says, during an interview in Tulsa, surrounded by shelves of books including “Intellectual Freedom Fighter” and “Radicals for Capitalism.” His lip is scarred from a bar-room brawl 28 years ago.

“We’re creating values beyond just short-term profit,” he says. “Those values, we feel, are efficiency, transparency, competition, stewardship.”

During the last real estate recession in the early 1990s, brought on by the collapse of the savings and loan industry, a temporary federal agency, the Resolution Trust Corp., served as a central clearing house to dispose of foreclosed houses, offices and stores. No such authority exists now, leaving private buyers and sellers to work out their own deals.

‘Greedy Speculators’

Forced sales reduce previously recorded property values and erode the$391 billion in local governments’ property tax rolls. Auctions exacerbate the crisis, says Ira Rheingold, executive director of the National Association of Consumer Advocates, a nonprofit attorneys group in Washington.

“They are just furthering the depressed market, because what they are doing is selling properties really, really cheap,” Rheingold says. “I don’t know that it does anything for the market except make some greedy speculators rich.”

Lawrence Summers, Obama’s director of the National Economic Council, pledged in a Jan. 15 letter to congressional leaders that the administration will commit $50 billion to $100 billion to try to keep people in their homes. While government assistance may slow the record pace of foreclosures, it won’t stop them.

“I’m anticipating that we’re going to see a frightening increase in foreclosure activity in the first part of the year,” says Rick Sharga, a senior vice president at the RealtyTrac real estate data service in Irvine, California. “Everybody underestimated just how severe this would be.”

Williams & Williams says it aims to triple its peak sales to 10,000 houses a month this year. In 2008, the company says it generated $1.1 billion in revenue on 13,872 auctions.

Internet Bidders

About 14 percent of the transactions are won by bidders on the Internet, and the Williams & Williams switchboard receives 30,000 calls a month, the company says. Its commissions average 6 percent. Auctioneers themselves can earn as much as $1 million a year.

Williams, who bought the business from his father, Tommy, in 2003, bankrolled the December introduction of an affiliated broadcast venture, the Auction Network, in 87 million households and on the Internet. Auction Network sells everything from antiques to condominiums and is developing a niche marketing the personal effects of celebrities such as Ozzy Osbourne, the late comedian Bob Hope and silent film actors Mary Pickford and Douglas Fairbanks Jr.

While a team of Williams & Williams auctioneers was moving through Maryland and Virginia on Dec. 16, a competitor, Irvine, California-basedReal Estate Disposition Corp., was wrapping up an eight-day, 18-city tour at which it sold 2,842 homes for $210 million, according to Chairman Robert Friedman.

Swap-meet Partners

Friedman and Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Frieden, both 47, met as teenagers when they were working at a swap meet. They started privately owned REDC in 1990 to help dispose of properties left by the S&L bust. They auctioned distressed real estate for seven years before mothballing the practice. Two years ago, they started again.

In November, the Trident IV private equity fund managed by Charles Davis, chief executive officer of Stone Point Capital LLC in Greenwich, Connecticut, bought a 50 percent stake in the California auction house. Terms weren’t disclosed.

By packing hundreds of bidders into ballrooms at dozens of auctions a day, REDC says it sold an industry-record 32,799 housing units for $3.4 billion last year.

Bank auctions, foreclosures and loan restructurings have eliminated “about 60 percent of the bad subprime loans” that triggered the industry’s collapse, Friedman says in an interview. The rest will be worked out this year, he says.

New Foreclosure Wave

Now, a new wave of foreclosures is capsizing borrowers with better credit in higher-cost houses who “got caught up in the subprime frenzy and maybe overshot the mark,” Friedman says. “I envision that wave to last probably another 18 to 24 months.”

Foreclosures and liquidations accounted for 34 percent of the residential market in Los Angeles last year, 30 percent in Phoenix and 27 percent inWashington, according to Radar Logic.

“Money is made, unfortunately, by the M&Ms of life: Mistakes and misfortunes of others,” says Monte Lowderman, 41, a Williams & Williams auctioneer from Macomb, Illinois.

The Upper Marlboro property was the third of 14 that Lowderman’s three-man crew sold for $2.4 million that day. They traveled in a rented Toyota sport-utility vehicle on a six-day swing from Virginia to Massachusetts.

The house once belonged to Jeffrey Whitner, a 43-year-old independent contractor who ran out of time and money to complete the job. He planned to use it to showcase his building abilities, he says. Whitner discovered the empty hilltop lot by driving around the neighborhood in February 2004. He paid $86,000 to buy it from an 80-year-old widow, public records show.

$1.1 Million Appraisal

The builder obtained a $651,300 interest-only construction loan from SunTrust Mortgage Inc., a unit of Atlanta-based SunTrust Banks Inc., property records show. That gave him enough to complete 95 percent of the construction, he says.

Whitner says he obtained a $1.1 million appraisal on the project and in September 2007 was closing in on new funding to finish. Then the real estate market collapsed, and his bank credit line vanished, he says.

Between starting and losing the project, Whitner fell a year behind on child support for his 12-year-old son, owing as much as $3,600, and ran up $11,034 on an unpaid credit card and personal loan, according to a Prince George’s County, Maryland, judgment.

“Maybe I put too much pride in the home and wanted to make it perfect for the owners,” Whitner says.

SunTrust foreclosed on Oct. 26, 2007, court records show. Ten days later, Whitner defaulted on the mortgage for the $228,000 condominium where he lived in Bowie, Maryland.

“I got really depressed,” he says.

Burning Building

Lowderman, who is about to auction the Upper Marlboro house, spits chewing tobacco into a paper cup.

“What we’re seeing today, in my lifetime, it’s happened once already,” he says.

His father, Jack, worked with Tommy Williams in an Illinois farm-and-livestock auction firm until the 1980s agricultural crisis doomed the partnership.

Tommy Williams resettled in Tulsa, where his sales exploits are family legend. He says he once auctioned a burning building.

When son Dean graduated from Georgetown University law school in Washington in 1989, he began flipping properties for profit, buying houses and having his father auction them. Williams & Williams was born.

Dean Williams says he honed his economic views reading the Libertarian author Ayn Rand, and named his 8-year-old son for the self-made businessman Hank Rearden in Rand’s 1957 novel “Atlas Shrugged.”

“Our focus,” says Williams, “is much longer than prices going up or down, even in a crisis of this magnitude.”

Unlit Townhouse

At an unheated, unlit townhouse in Capital Heights, Maryland, Lowderman’s auction team has already disposed of a residence that stood empty for eight months. The sale took seven minutes and elicited a winning bid of $139,000. That was less than half the $305,000 it sold for in December 2006 and 9 percent below the price a previous owner paid in 2003.

The winning bidder in this and all auction sales must make an immediate 5 percent down payment and arrange financing within a month. The transaction is subject to the seller’s approval.

If Fannie Mae, the seller of the Capital Heights property, accepts the offer, it will record a loss equal to half the loan’s balance, according to public records. The Washington-based government mortgage finance company, which hired Williams & Williams, has absorbed a $56 billion beating on mortgage-related losses, Bloomberg data show. The mistakes pushed it into conservatorship last year. Fannie Mae couldn’t be reached for comment yesterday.

The original lender, HSBC Mortgage Corp., a unit of HSBC Holdings Plc, has recorded $33.1 billion in subprime losses.

‘Cash is King’

“There’s people who’ve lost a bunch of money,” says Juston Stelzer, 29, who works with Lowderman as a “ring man,” recognizing each bid at auction by belting out “Hey!” and “Yes!”

“But cash is king right now. And there’s going to be some people get filthy, filthy wealthy,” he says.

It’s decision time for Parkin, standing on an unfinished floor in the unheated front room of the Upper Marlboro house.

As he peers into the muddy, unplanted yard, the winter sun frames him in a spotlight.

Parkin says he’s stepped into $1 million tract houses that don’t feel as hospitable as this one, with its granite counters, stone fireplace and floor-to-ceiling windows.

Lexus and Ford

“Maybe it’s the analogy of closing the door of a Lexus and closing the door of a Ford,” he says.

Mechele Silva, 39, a physician who lives nearby, says she used to peek in the windows to glimpse the builder’s progress.

“It was so much nicer than the old houses that we lived in,” says Louise Pearson, 84, another neighbor.

While the first minute at auction raised the offering price more than fivefold, the next 60 seconds tick by without a bid.

“I had never done an auction in my life,” Parkin says. “I didn’t want to get myself in a position I couldn’t handle.

Then he offers $520,000 and reclaims the lead. The competitor’s face falls. The auction ends.

Lowderman asks for applause.

“When I won, I had this rush: What did I do?” Parkin said later. “It was this blend of excitement. And terror.”

 

 
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